Week 4

8-14-1 after Week 3


Let’s get further back on track after going 5-1-0 on my last six

Seattle (-1.5) at NY Jets – This is a freebie. The Jets have absolutely no depth, and without Eric Decker today, Seattle can just shade the secondary Brandon Marshall’s way and pin Fitzpatrick into a bunch of mistakes. Even Seattle’s offensive line can’t offset that matchup. Seahawks 17, Jets 6. 

Browns (+7.5) at Redskins – The Redskins shouldn’t be favored by more than 4 over anyone. After going 2/12 on 3rd downs in the red zone last week and STILL fucking winning a road game (has to be the first time in NFL history, I’m not even going to look it up). The Redskins offense has not changed at all in 3 seasons, and the Browns are already into their bag of tricks for Terrelle Pryor. Always bet against a bad team off a big win. Browns 20, Skins 19.

Broncos (-3.5) over Buccaneers – I’m betting against Jameis Winston successfully navigating the Denver defense on the road on his first try and only giving 3.5 points? Thanks. Broncos 33, Buccaneers 17.

Niners (+3) over Cowboys – I’m betting against Dak Prescott winning his first cross-country road game when he’s the best regression-to-the-mean candidate after his first three starts in NFL history and I’m GETTING three points? Thanks. 49ers 24, Cowboys 17

Rams (+10) at Cardinals – What exactly have the Cardinals shown you in 3 weeks that warrants a double digit spread? I don’t know either. If there’s one thing keeping Jeff Fisher in the Rams job, it’s his uncanny ability to play up to the level of competition in the Seahawks and Cardinals. Cardinals 23, Rams 20.

Tie Watch

Steve takes Cleveland-Washington

I’m going Rams-Cardinals


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