Bliterhing behind us, lets’ get back to picks.
Jets (+7.5, -125) at Jaguars – This isn’t so much about Sam Darnold as it is about the Jets defense. I projected the Jets to be the 2nd best defense in the NFL behind the Jags, largely because of their ability to cover man to man, and this should be a great matchup for those concepts. Bortles won’t blow the Jets out, even if Darnold doesn’t play great. Jags 20, Jets 17.
Lions (+120, ML) at Cowboys – The Cowboys are awful, and the Lions have ALWAYS given them problems. I think that win against the Patriots is going to give Detroit the confidence to put away a bad team by getting up on them early, and the Cowboys are not built to play from behind Lions 28, Cowboys 13.
Raiders (-2.5, -110) vs. Browns – I think Gruden finally gets off the schneid here. They’ve been awful in situational football through three weeks, but really haven’t been out of any of these games against better competition. I’m not asking them to look great here, just win by three. Raiders 23, Browns 17.
Ravens (+130, ML) at Steelers – Fuck the Steelers. I’m tired of their twelve penalties a game, 3 big plays pulled out to make up for it havin’ asses. Baltimore as at LEAST executed, if not dazzled, and a team that will hold their mistakes against them through knowing them as well as Baltimore is built to make them pay. Ravens 27, Steelers 23.
Colts (+1, -110) vs. Texans – Can you remember the last time an 0-3 team was a road favorite? Neither can I. Take the point and thank me later.
3rd and 13 